Senator Bongbong Marcos is the leading choice of Filipino voters, according to a vice presidential preference poll completed within a week prior to the May 9 general elections. The last pre-election surveys were conducted by the two most reliable pollsters in the country, Social Weather Stations (SWS) and the Standard’s Laylo Report.
In the latest SWS poll done between May 1 to 3, Marcos regained the lead with 29% out of 4,500 survey respondents nationwide. He was followed by lone female candidate, Rep. Leni Robredo of Camarines Sur, who garnered 28%. Four other candidates are also running for the second highest post in the land, but their chances are virtually nil.
Marcos’ ranking jumped four points compared to his performance in the immediately preceding SWS polls taken on April 18 to 20. On the other hand, Robredo inched up two percentage points over the same period. Both candidates now have double-digit leads versus their other rivals.
Meanwhile, the Laylo Report published by national broadsheet The Standard revealed similar results. Marcos garnered 30% of 3,000 likely voters who were polled between April 27 and May 1. Close behind was Robredo at 29%, and a far third was Senator Chiz Escudero at 20%. The three other candidates had a combined 18%.
The Philippine Star columnist Babe Romualdez considers the Laylo Research Strategies (LRS) firm as the most credible polling organization in the country. It was founded by Pedro Laylo Jr. in 2001 after he retired from SWS. Laylo obtained his master’s degree in political science from the University of Connecticut’s Roper Center with a concentration in public opinion research.
Romualdez said billionaire businessman Enrique Razon Jr. “has been relying on the Laylo surveys even when he was still the owner of The Standard (then known as Manila Standard Today) to assess the political landscape and gauge voters’ choices.” According to Romualdez, the shipping tycoon regularly commissions LRS to conduct surveys because its methodology is the most detailed and comprehensive with the biggest sample size representing all 18 regions of the Philippines.
A Pulse Asia Research poll released Sunday found that Duterte leads other candidates, including current vice president Jejomar Binay, Sen. Grace Poe and former senator Mar Roxas. Meanwhile, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. is running for vice president. Today’s president, Benigno Aquino III, must step down in June after the usual six-year term. READ MORE
Binay’s camp remained optimistic he would win the presidency following results of the surveys showing him trailing Duterte and Senator Grace Poe.
“The Vice President will continue to persevere to touch the hearts and minds of the people that his anti-poverty programs will effectively uplift their lives,” Binay campaign spokesperson Rico Quicho said.
Quicho said Binay’s core and volunteer groups were all fired up to work for the victory of the Vice President.
Liberal Party (LP) standard-bearer Roxas and Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) said their local political machineries were expected to snag for them high ratings in the next surveys for presidential preference in the May election.
Erstwhile front-runner independent candidate Poe, dislodged for the first time from the top slot by Duterte. vowed to work harder to regain her lead in previous surveys.
Roxas, fourth in the latest surveys, said the Liberal Party local campaign had just started to explain his low rating.
All barangay chairmen and councilors, congressmen and mayors support Daang Matuwid (Straight Path) governance, said Roxas.
Daang Matuwid is the flagship program of the administration of outgoing President Benigno Aquino. Critics jokingly tag Daang Matuwid as Tuwad na Daan (Crooked Path) and the symbol of incompetence of the Aquino administration. Critics also say that Roxas’ vow to continue the program if elected President is driving away public confidence.
Binay, at third spot in the latest surveys, said that at the homestretch of the race, the contest would be between him and Roxas because of their large political machinery.
“I remain confident that in the end we will prevail,” said Binay, adding that it is only the UNA and LP that political machineries on the ground.
Duterte’s Partido Demokratiko Pilipino/Laban (PDP/Laban) is considered a minority party, but strong public support is pushing up the Davao City mayor’s bid.
Duterte’s camp welcomed the results of the surveys.
“We are humbled by the results of the recent surveys that placed Mayor Rody Duterte in the lead in voter preference,” Leoncio Evasco Jr., national campaign manager of Duterte.
“We welcome this with guarded optimism, as we are fully aware that the battle is not yet over,” said Evasco, who is also the incumbent mayor of Maribojoc town in Bohol.
Evasco said the mayor’s camp would continue to build on the momentum and aim for “a complete, decisive and indisputable victory.”
Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte had 25% a mere one point shy of Senator Grace Poe’s 26% as the leading contenders in the May presidential elections shared the top in a statistical tie in the latest survey by Pulse Asia.
In the March 8-13 survey commissioned by ABS/CBN involving 4,000 registered voters, independent bet Poe was down two points while Duterte of the PDP/Laban upped his number by a point, against result of the previous March 1-6 survey of Pulse Asia.
Vice President Jejomar Binay (UNA), was at third spot with 22%, a one percent gain from the previous survey. Liberal Party’s Mar Roxas was 4th with 20%, also his score in the previous poll. Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago (PRP), remained constant with 3%.
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